Another Brexit blog. It is such a fast moving issue.
I was impressed with Theresa May yesterday in Parliament. She was resolute in defending the democratic legitimacy of the 2016 Brexit referendum result. She understands wisely that it is paramount Brexit is delivered. She is rightly adamant a 2nd referendum would be seen as betrayal and do yet unseen damage to our society. She will not countenance it (I hope).
Labour are not going to get a General Election.
So I am beginning to feel optimistic again. It looks like Theresa May's deal or No Deal (the default legal position if Parliament does not agree a deal).
This morning the Cabinet are apparently meeting to agree to step up No Deal planning. This must happen.
Ironically this step also increases the chance of the EU coming back with the improvements Theresa May needs to her deal to stand a chance of getting it through Parliament. We know the EU form. Big decisions are made seconds before midnight. If they really believe we will go with a planned no deal rather than a bad deal (the deal currently on offer) they are much more likely to make concessions because No Deal is very bad for them. This is simple negotiating strategy and one so many people including politicians have failed to understand.
So plan for No Deal. A Win Win.
PS. I do not subscribe to the view that with No Deal we have no financial liability to the EU. I think we need to be fair and reasonable but I am not sure what that figure is. It certainly is not 39 billion.
I was impressed with Theresa May yesterday in Parliament. She was resolute in defending the democratic legitimacy of the 2016 Brexit referendum result. She understands wisely that it is paramount Brexit is delivered. She is rightly adamant a 2nd referendum would be seen as betrayal and do yet unseen damage to our society. She will not countenance it (I hope).
Labour are not going to get a General Election.
So I am beginning to feel optimistic again. It looks like Theresa May's deal or No Deal (the default legal position if Parliament does not agree a deal).
This morning the Cabinet are apparently meeting to agree to step up No Deal planning. This must happen.
Ironically this step also increases the chance of the EU coming back with the improvements Theresa May needs to her deal to stand a chance of getting it through Parliament. We know the EU form. Big decisions are made seconds before midnight. If they really believe we will go with a planned no deal rather than a bad deal (the deal currently on offer) they are much more likely to make concessions because No Deal is very bad for them. This is simple negotiating strategy and one so many people including politicians have failed to understand.
So plan for No Deal. A Win Win.
PS. I do not subscribe to the view that with No Deal we have no financial liability to the EU. I think we need to be fair and reasonable but I am not sure what that figure is. It certainly is not 39 billion.
No comments:
Post a Comment