#Brexit after the defeat of the deal in Parliament - what happens?

Brexit after the defeat of the deal in Parliament - what happens? ( I am writing this blog mainly for my own amusement/sanity - like watching some dreadful soap play out. The sad thing is while Brexit is proving so torturous and there is so much duplicity and self interest evident - the outcome is really fundamental to our futures.)

My judgement - not based on what I think should happen - but what will happen.

The fundamental question :

CAN PARLIAMENT STOP US DEFAULTING WITH A NO DEAL OR WILL THE EU CONCEDE THE DEAL NEEDS CHANGE TO BE ACCEPTABLE TO THE UK? 

Finer analysis :-

1. TM will survive the no confidence vote today. It is a sideline for Labour Party members benefit.
2. An extension of Article 50, or a second referendum would only happen if the Government fell.
3. While TM says she will consult widely across the House it is obvious she cannot concede her red lines for a BRINO type deal. There is absolutely no point in talking to the labour leadership until they acknowledge publicly you cannot be in a permanent customs union and end free movement, and be able to make our own trade deals with the rest of the world at the same time. (they are only playing self interested political games.)
4. The only chance of a deal with the EU (that will find a majority in the House) is the current deal with the removal of the Irish backstop (and the additional sweetener that half the 39 billion will be dependent on the signing of the new trade deal within the 2 year transition period.)
5. However why would the EU concede the strong upper hand they have secured when it comes to negotiating the future trade agreement?
6. The EU will NOT concede this as long as they believe there is any chance the UK Parliament/country might concede its Brexit red lines and or Brexit be reversed - ie the government might fall, or concede a second referendum, ask to extend article 50 or come back to the EU with a softer Brexit proposal (which will suit the EU).
7. No Deal is the default legal position and we will exit on no deal terms unless a deal is done. (despite Parliament trying to stop it).
8. The EU ultimately want to avoid a no deal Brexit because it will be hugely damaging to the EU and they need our money.
9. However the EU negotiators do not want to make concessions to appease the UK and their tactic (understandably) is to stone wall in order to keep the pressure on the UK.

It therefore comes down to a shoot out with the EU. Who will blink first? It will go right down to the wire. Both parties will plan for no deal and evidence they can live with it. 

Unless the UK folds (the pressure on TM will be enormous) - the EU will blink and concessions within the legally binding withdrawal agreement will be made regarding the back stop and the 39 billion). Parliament will accept it and the deal will be done. I expect this to happen.

Personally I think a clean break no deal exit will be our best outcome - especially in the medium term. We can negotiate our future from strength.